maka, true, but you leave the important bit out of downside scenario no.2. :-)
You've lost the same amount on the FPOs as the oppies - but you still have the FPOs. With the oppies you are now out of the game.
I don't want to put anyone off oppies - they can be enormously profitable. But 52 baggers are few and far between. One just needs to be aware of the pitfalls.
