Trader, your figures are nonsense.
AUT claims its net cash flow for 2011 will be $40m before cap ex of $111m cap ex. You claim $109m profit after deducting cap ex of $107.
See page 28 of the March 8th presentation.
I think the main problem is that you assume all the wells to be drilled in 2011 will produce for the whole year when obviously they will come on stream during the year. You have miscalculated the opex. According to the presentation it is $20,000 per month, per well, not per year as you have shown, and several other errors.
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