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02/12/11
19:01
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" If they are giving away free attaching options that would be too hard for options to be in the money."
As I posted yesterday we need to know the total dilution before making such a call
I get the feeling they will raise after a major rally, off the back of flow results
eg - $9 mil may need 450 shares at 2c or say 375 oppies at 2.4c
Oppies might be 1 for 10
So 45 mil oppies in the scheme of arraound 2.75 - 2.98 bill fully diluted, the amount of oppies issues becomes irrellevant
The big risk is dilution under 2c. ( Say 1.5c )
$9 mil would take 600 mil of shares, and kill the chance of an 8c strike privce being achieved
It appears they are very well aware of such a risk, and intend anything they can to draw max value out of the SP prior to such an event
We may even see Well 3& 4 spud prior to the call
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