here is the graph of the raw data with seasonal minimums as black dots
it does show a bit of a recent levelling off in the minimums 3->4 is not as steep as 2->3
it also shows a unadjusted rise from point 4 onwards
calling the bottom is premature though in my opinion, i would wait for 3-5 more months when a new minimum falls on the chart
as you can see between the minimums(black dots) the data jumps around quite a bit
also how seasonal is the data? the minimums are only a recent phenomenon, the minimums dont always fall 12 months apart and between the minimums the data jumps around a lot
