PYM 0.00% 0.0¢ pryme energy limited

pym potential

  1. 181 Posts.
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    Hi Guys,
    I have been looking at the potential of PYM and if they hit the production numbers that they have stated in the initial flow tests, then I can see very large upside and cannot understand why SP is so low. I have put my workings below and would like feedback.

    From the July half yearly report – page 6 (net to Pryme) = 25,207 BoE (for the 6 mths)

    This means a daily BoE = 25207/(365/2) = 138 BoE / day
    This means revenue of approx. 13,800 (with Oil at $100).
    “I used 100 as it keeps numbers simple and is close.”

    Now with initial flow testing of Deshotels 13H -1,167bpd of oil and 600mcf/d of natural gas (30% NRI). I have calculated the following daily rate of BoE

    (600/6.1) + 1,167 @ 30% = 379.5 BoE
    Again using ($100) –additional revenue is $37,950 day.

    So total annual revenue = (13,800 + 37,950) x365 = $18.8 M

    Looking at costs in the July Report this is approx. $3M.

    Yearly costs~ $6M , - this can vary, but its all I have to use at the moment.

    Current Market Cap = $19.5M.

    Therefore, if production matches the flows, the SP should be multiples of current?

    My valuation on near term (< 6 months) SP is:

    EBIT/share = (12.8/260) = 4.9c
    Say profit is 60% of EBIT = 2.95c
    P/E of 10 = 29.5c per share.

    This does not factor in any upside on additional wells.

    Am I missing something/ does my arithmetic add up?
 
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