I'm not in any way down ramping and did indeed hold LNG for a while but changed my mind preferring to own the gas rather than a technology I did not understand.
MB has stated that nobody will sign a GSA with LNG until it is in production.
Everyone is standing back until the first lng-ship sails down the newly-dredged River in early 2015.
And that includes MEL.
MEL have myriad realisable options and stonewall any questions (as I did recently) that are put to them regarding LNG.
MB understands this and despite owning 12% assures us that MEL's decisions will be in the interests of its s/h, board and management.
MB is a very nice, jovial man and I might add - a bit of useless information - is a frequent visitor to MEL's Sydney office and attended their AGM in November 11
LNG/HQ has no choice now but to buy a small gas exploration/production company (just add a couple of hundred million to the billion LNG/HQ are going to spend anyway) and by owning it secure gas supply for Train Uno and hence the FID.
As I understand it, to have FL in production by end 2014, LNG has to make the FID sometime this year?
So there are 2 big questions IMO:
The first is the lack of time.
WCL will drag negotiations out to make MB - an old man in a hurry - desperate for a deal.
The second and bigger biggie is a lack of certainty.
The Chinese - don't like to be hurried, take a long term view of things and never overpay.
Will they support him?
This is very delicate and uncertain for all the parties' concerned.
hs (rA)
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