There are 21,076,319 shares being offered on the sell side under 3.1c and the remaining 10,278,801 shares are loaded between 3.1c - 13.5c.
Provided we don't receive any material announcements within the near term one might speculate that the 10m @ 3.1c and above are probably safe (won't be sold), however based on the announcements received this time last year I believe there is a massive shortage in current supply, and this is what drives a sp after any positive announcement.
Shareholder Update - (1st Tuesday of April)
06/04/2010 - Shareholder Update - volume 99,184,699
05/04/2011 - Shareholder Update - volume 35,885,856
03/04/2012 - Shareholder Update - volume ?
13/05/2010 - FIM Technology Platform - volume 35,988,850
17/05/2011 - GSK Collaboration Update - volume 124,848,780
??/??/2012 - GSK Collaboration Update - volume ?
The Development Collaboration announcement with GSK 10 months ago saw the first 7 lines on the sell side wiped out within 10 minutes and a total volume traded on the day of 125m shares, so subject to the next GSK update NOT being material an additional 100m shares may need to be supplied on sell side again to keep the sp under 3c.
To add to this very near term speculation we may expect to see some of the following announcements any day now:
* Joint Development Agreement with FMCG 3 (Global)
* Strategic Alliance Negotiations with FMCG 1 (USA)
* Development Discussions with FMCG 2 (UK)
* Multi-product discussions with Major US Pharma
* Musculoskeletal project consumer testing in Europe
* New Cosmetic Pod based delivery system
* Human Efficacy Studies with GSK Oral Health
* Intellectual Property - Patent allowance for eM-Patch
___
And for the sake keeping things balanced, if we don't receive any announcements and the traditional "run away in May" theme applies across world markets again in 2012 then we may very well be blessed with a share price back in the mid to high teens again - which I for one would very much welcome ;)
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