the clearance rates are artificially being kept up by not counting all the properties that were being reported as being up for sale the previous week. the data collection is completely flawed and significantly so. Instant fail W.R.T statistics.
Not only that the underlying nature of what you are measuring changes over time. e.g. in a bull market sellers could favour auctions and in an extreme bear market foreclosing banks can favour auctions - for two different reasons(high price/quick sale), another fail W.R.T the statistics
the stats are bogus and the bogus stats are being used as advertising for the industry
so if you are using bogus stats (which are really just advertising) to make predictions for house prices, you are unlikely to have tertiary maths/stats under your belt
having said that there are plenty of incompetent mathematicians and statisticians coming out of uni, so maybe you are one of them
UT gets it, but i think he also has substantial maths behind him as well
