Maybe some don't quite understand the nature of the different types of plays in O&G, and all they see is the low # of bopd per well and don't get the well cost, the very high netback for MAD, the NPV/IRR that distinguishes this investment.
Personally I would not mind if MAD took a little time consolidating at the $1.25 mark.
I think the market generally buys the story:
(a) Bopd now around 1,000 destined to triple by possibly year end. At flowing $150K, suggest MC of around $450M
(b) on present 2P reserves of 72.8 Mmbo, destined to possibly double to 150Mmbo shortly and using $30 which is reasonable given location of reserves thats also about MC of about $450M.
Seems like the MAD train is on track to achieve those steps and more. Adjust the multiplers to your liking but those are fairly common numbers.
Regards
FDM Price at posting:
$1.21 Sentiment: LT Buy Disclosure: Held