Thanks, Boiler.
Yes, forward looking valuations all have to be taken with a grain of salt and be updated continually as more information comes to hand.
I can't even pretend to put a fundamental valuation on the current SP, or even near term.
This stock is getting traded like poker chips at the moment.
But it's a minority of holders (~4%?) causing the swings, the more the company de-risks, the less volatile is should become.
There are inherent risks in biotech, especially ones still in development with no income. But the upside COULD be substantial.
I look at it this way, if all goes to hell the risk is probably, what? 80% down from here?
The upside could be in excess of 2000%, then our friend up there would have to change his name to "winning 20 bagger".
This is the upside i wanted to remind long term investors about.
A few disingenuous posters were trying to cast doubts on the long term potential of Prima for short term gain and I think it may have worked.
I also have done valuations based on 10% of global patient numbers rather than the global market valuation (as there has been some debate about it's validity) and that works out favourably, too.
http://emedicine.medscape.com/article/255771-overview
10% market share of 200k OC patients = 20k
20k x $90k treatment = $1.8b rev p/ann
- obviously we won't have 10% of the entire market so this is just a broad indication as distribution of treatment centres improves.
(90% of OC is treatable by Cvac so take that into account too.)
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29.5¢ |
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-0.040(11.9%) |
Mkt cap ! $428.5M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
32.0¢ | 33.0¢ | 28.0¢ | $7.278M | 23.75M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
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Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
30.5¢ | 41048 | 1 |
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4 | 53192 | 0.295 |
13 | 356931 | 0.290 |
8 | 189497 | 0.285 |
28 | 636043 | 0.280 |
7 | 247421 | 0.275 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.305 | 41048 | 1 |
0.310 | 161453 | 3 |
0.315 | 123072 | 2 |
0.320 | 76654 | 4 |
0.325 | 66070 | 2 |
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