Can't deny all of your optimism but there is some glaring issues in the BFS that I can see...
a) A 7 year mine life with gold price at $1700? That's pretty steep, can anyone show me a long term forecast from any of the major banks that keeps prices this high for this long?
A forward curve is not justification for using $1700 unless you are fully hedged against the curve and therefore can guarantee prices will never go down.
b) 8% NPV? What bank is going to lend these guys money at 8%? (thats effectively what that rate is saying their cost of funds is 8%) if they are BHP I might be more comfortable but its a little low.. something more realistic would be 10-12%.
Having a downward sloping price curve and slightly higher cost of funds and perhaps we are getting more realistic. If we like it or not no company can secure 100% debt over their projects... generally 60% is the upper limit so there will still need to be a cap raise for something up around $20-$25-$30m (which is close to the market cap right now).
I'm not saying the number's arent good I am just saying that you need to look at the detail more as the banks that offer to lend them the $$$ certainly will.
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Last
80.0¢ |
Change
-0.020(2.44%) |
Mkt cap ! $73.17M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
81.0¢ | 81.0¢ | 77.0¢ | $7.061K | 9.123K |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 1298 | 77.0¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
80.0¢ | 2292 | 1 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 1298 | 0.770 |
1 | 20000 | 0.760 |
1 | 13514 | 0.740 |
2 | 22504 | 0.735 |
1 | 10000 | 0.730 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.800 | 2292 | 1 |
0.810 | 1258 | 1 |
0.820 | 8000 | 1 |
0.830 | 30088 | 1 |
0.835 | 6655 | 1 |
Last trade - 15.19pm 15/11/2024 (20 minute delay) ? |
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