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ASX:ADY re: do we have a bottom Post #422 by: Stocko Reads: 174 Position: Unknown Report Abuse 04-08-2005 11:36 IP 211.28.xxx.xxx
Some fool keeps selling dribbles at .115 I wonder what the reason is?
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ASX:ADY re: do we have a bottom Post #423 by: Barrios Reads: 176 Position: Holds Report Abuse 04-08-2005 11:50 IP 198.142.xxx.xxx
Irrelevant.
The big DUMP parcels have ceased.
Some small timers or traders will still be selling.
Got to remember most do not really understand the companies they invest in, or the likely NEWS flow.
It looks more likely to go up now than down further, its this change in trading patterns that tells the story.
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ASX:ADY re: do we have a bottom Post #424 by: Stocko Reads: 171 Position: Unknown Report Abuse 04-08-2005 11:54 IP 211.28.xxx.xxx
Just got an update on Index Options, they still have 12 million shares.
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ASX:ADY re: do we have a bottom Post #425 by: Barrios Reads: 173 Position: Unknown Report Abuse 04-08-2005 12:00 IP 198.142.xxx.xxx
Perhaps they have sold enough to stave off winding up procedures.
They seem to have ceased the selling at this stage.
It also makes sense since everyone seems to be expecting NEWS that they would cease also.
Lets say it will be interesting to see what develops.
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ASX:ADY re: Buying spike. Post #436 by: Stocko Reads: 162 Position: Unknown Report Abuse 04-08-2005 14:21 IP 211.28.xxx.xxx
Funny about that!
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ASX:ADY re: topped up Post #438 by: Projector Reads: 155 Position: Holds Report Abuse 04-08-2005 14:56 IP 60.240.xxx.xxx
Just doubled my holding at 12.5. Feeling confident.
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ASX:ADY re: topped up Post #447 by: Stocko Reads: 138 Position: Unknown Report Abuse 04-08-2005 19:22 IP 211.28.xxx.xxx
I think you did the right thing as this is going up and nothing will stop it going. Not even that dumper of a hedge fund that sells through Wilsons. A big announcement will blow the rest of their stock. They are going to be looking stupid over the next few days.
Ive been topping up by averaging down over the last few days.
Why are we so smart and the market just so clueless? Because we can predict the future..lol
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ASX:ADY re: topped up Post #463 by: Stocko Reads: 93 Position: Unknown Report Abuse 05-08-2005 17:52 IP 211.28.xxx.xxx
Well guys, we were expecting some tid nit of news that never eventuated this week. (Thanks Smuggler) The seller is exausting the buying that was at .12 so now he is dumping at .115 Depending on how much he has to sell and how much people will pay up the share price will land at that figure. I cannot believe that I have bought in at .13 .125 .12 still to see the largish dumping to continue. If it keeps up the people who pick up at his last dump price will be in the money on the rebound straight away. So far this ducky has sunk .25 million $$ into buying these on the way down. It just pisses me off when the market is so short termed in its investment Horizon. Other people I know have bought in on after asking me what to buy so in the short term these people freak when a stock goes down. I myself have overcomer the fickle gyrations of the market and will do very well out of ADY over the coming weeks. To those that bought at .12 .13 hang in there as I can honestly see this way above its all time high of .26 in about 2 months. I just get pissed of that I could not of bought the lot at .115 but thats the market.
My advice is to hang tight or do as I do averaged down. This stock is going up after Index Options get rid of their holding. The reason why they are selling is that they are being wound up and have to sell. Theu bought between .16 and .18 so they must be hard up for cash.
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ASX:ADY re: topped up Post #464 by: Stocko Reads: 92 Position: Unknown Report Abuse 05-08-2005 17:56 IP 211.28.xxx.xxx
I should spell check but I one finger type and do not check my typing. So bear with me that I am not an uneducated Git, but one who types too fast and hits the wrong keys. Keep Cool.
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ASX:ADY re: topped up Post #467 by: Alphacenturian Reads: 79 Position: Holds Report Abuse 06-08-2005 09:24 IP 60.224.xxx.xxx
Gday Stocko,
on the basis that I cannot see anything wrong I have joined you as a buyer at 11.5c. Having said that, the selling pressure appears to be remaining very solid and I cant say I was too comfortable with the size of the sell parcels hitting the offer in a very measured and relentless sell.
Regardless, I'm much more relaxed with an entry at 11.5 than I would be at 13c, LOL.
Cheers, Grade This Post : A+AA-BCDEF
ASX:ADY re: topped up Post #468 by: Stocko Reads: 75 Position: Holds Report Abuse 06-08-2005 10:50 IP 211.28.xxx.xxx
Glad to have you aboard Alpha, I feel that rewards for the patient are not too far distant. It just wears down ones resolve after doing a lot of research to see the nuff nuffs sell out. This stock has hit .26 on lesser news so anything is possible, the only thing is how does Iron Ore, Sulphates, Lithium and other organics shape up against the hype in the Uranium industry? Notice that the Government stated that a NEW mine could come on line in around 10 years. I wonder if all these daytraders and short term investors are going to get burnt very badly if they are the last man holding. I tend to invest counter cyclic and pick up larger profits when the wheel turns.
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ASX:ADY re: On board Post #471 by: Projector Reads: 63 Position: Holds Report Abuse 06-08-2005 14:37 IP 60.240.xxx.xxx
I'll think you find there are a few of us on board and backing you to Stocko. I've put over $125k into the stock and am holding at an average just higher than yours.
I'm not worried though. This is one awesome stock and like BQT, could argueably take on the stock of the ASX for 2005. It's a race between them imho.
Now that I see Alpha is onboard to, I'm even more confident.
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ASX:ADY re: On board Post #473 by: Stocko Reads: 57 Position: Holds Report Abuse 06-08-2005 14:59 IP 211.28.xxx.xxx
I am 100% confident that this one will be very good value in the long term. It may get "forced lower" by Mr Index Options selling down but then again he just might stop. I feel that it is too risky to be out of the stock trying to pick the bottom as a trading halt will kill off the chance of getting set. I have decided to average down as it gets sold off. Alhpa is right I did jump on a little early at .13 but who knows when its about to pop its lid.
I hope this one gives Alpha a large profit as he has given me some Golden tips over the years. If you want to learn more read the ADY Website and compare to SQM on the U.S.A market. SQM is $127 USD a share and they do what ADY do. ADY have Iron ore as well. Just be patient for the market to clue itself up on this.
Projector , so far Ive put $250K into this and am prepared to take more if it goes lower.
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ASX:ADY re: On board Post #475 by: Game Boy Reads: 33 Position: None Report Abuse 06-08-2005 23:30 IP 60.240.xxx.xxx
I suspect Index options will sell down to 10.5c, run out of shares and then the sp will bounce back again.
They have too many left to keep support levels up at 11c.
I wait for 10.5 then I'm in large.
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ASX:ADY re: On board Post #476 by: mancini Reads: 33 Position: None Report Abuse 06-08-2005 23:51 IP 203.173.xxx.xxx
Firstly, thanks Stocko and others who have provided a heap of info on this stock. it has been a good read over the last few days.
I was looking at the amount of selling going on and was curious about it, but you seem to have a good idea who is doing the selling.
I was looking at the announcements history and was trying to piece together why this stock went down back in Mar - or maybe i should be asking what caused the original spike earlier perhaps?
do u think this rise you are looking for will be a bit more sustained and long term - holding above current levels for a longer term?
Cheers and I appreciate your comments. Grade This Post : A+AA-BCDEF
ASX:ADY re: On board Post #477 by: mancini Reads: 28 Position: Unknown Report Abuse 00:01 IP 203.173.xxx.xxx
i was also going to ask, a more general question, if oil prices affect mining stocks like ADY ? (not oil extraction/mining companies of course :)
the costs for extraction would go up with oil prices, so does the sale price of the commodity just increase also?
Cheers Grade This Post : A+AA-BCDEF
ASX:ADY re: On board Post #478 by: bailej03 Reads: 28 Position: Holds Report Abuse 00:44 IP 202.165.xxx.xxx
Oil prices could be a problem. Initially I think iron ore production will be power by diesel generators and they then transport it 50km. But going on costings from website this means that fuel makes up at most $2.35 of variable costs. Don't know what price this is based on, but presumably it won't make to larger a dent in profits. Major concern is a buoyant iron ore price. Hopefully we will not see a big pull back in iron ore contract price next year which could impact our bargaining power and ability to maintain $38FOB.
Stocko, etc. where have you guys been? Buying at 13c? why? Been sitting below this for months but you buy on the spike which didn't even break any major resistance levels which could have been seen as sensible targets to buy in on.
I agree ADY has turned the corner big time and now once we start producing iron ore with cash flowing into rincon, ADY could become a succesful middle sized miner over the next few years.
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