Hi Kiwi.
You may be right and news will eventuate within that 3-4 month period. The problem is as I have already stated. It can't be just any ordinary news, it actually has to be something very strong to restore investor confidence back into this already beleaguered SP.
The other glaringly obvious factor in my calculations presently is the limited amount of funds that are available. As you posted all becomes more clear the next "Q". Until that next "Q" is released the thought of this dropping even lower due to a CR is a daunting prospect indeed for any future investors/traders. imo.
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