my valuation of opl

  1. 1,112 Posts.
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    194 900 000 shares issued.

    $15 million cash in bank, no debt.

    $15 000 000 / 194 900 000 shares
    =$0.075c cash per share

    If we assume that JH has a 50BCF reserve, which a conservative estimate and current gas prices are $12/mcf and OPL has a 37.5% stake in it.

    20BCF * $12/mcf (20 000 000 * 12) = $240 000 000 * 0.375 = $90 000 000
    30BCF * $3/mcf (30 000 000 * 3) = $90 000 000 * 0.375 = $33 750 000

    - say they get 20BCF out at current prices of $12/mcf and the remaining 30BCF is given a NPV of $3/mcf.

    $90 000 000 + $33 750 00 = $123 750 000 revenue.

    Profit margins of 10% on the revenue = $12 375 000

    At current market capitalisation of $124 736 000, it gives it a PE multiple of 10.

    So the SE Lost Hills Shallow Gas project fully covers the current share price of OPL and it has another 4 projects, the SE Lost Hills Oil deeps, Forbes, Turk Anticline and Aera Projects which are all potentially worth more than the Shallow Gas play. So it's a fair assumtion that out of the remaining projects, over the next couple of years they will be able to maintain a PE multiple of 10 with the current market capitalisation and the market capitalisation should expand to keep a PE multiple of 10.

    We'll see a few more wells drilled by the year end if all goes to plan, so I think OPL represent fantastic value at the moment while oil & gas prices hold up.
 
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Last
2.5¢
Change
0.001(4.17%)
Mkt cap ! $7.568M
Open High Low Value Volume
2.5¢ 2.5¢ 2.5¢ $2.282K 91.26K

Buyers (Bids)

No. Vol. Price($)
4 509087 2.4¢
 

Sellers (Offers)

Price($) Vol. No.
2.7¢ 150000 2
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Last trade - 13.53pm 19/09/2025 (20 minute delay) ?
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