To be honest I think you're both very optimistic thinking any sustained SP rise is likely based on a 24 flow test reslt.
The downside is certainly there, and imo anything under 800bopd for the 24hr flow will result in a dropping SP, make that a smashed SP if under 500bopd.
The really significant result wil be after 30 days, and those predicted SP numbers will be far more appropriate for a rerated SP in one months time imo.
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