Hi Jan
Thanks for the feedback.
The way is see it:
1. Valuing company on multiples should only be reserved for company with a trading history. With LYC, the more appropriate method is NPV. I know i am not using the NPV method properly because i have omitted the discount factor and termination costs etc. But its just a "back of envelope" type calculation. You will notice i use a hybrid system.
2. I like the idea of $13/kg profit better :) If i apply a discount of 8%, it gives a valuation of around $3 billion for $13/kg and $700 million for $3/kg (didnt think that the discount factor is going to make that much of a difference initially). At $3 billion, that is $1.50 per share which is the high around Feb 12. At $700 million, that is $0.35 per share which is the low around Aug 09.
If i average $1.5 and $0.35, it gives $0.925, which is also the high around Sep 12. For now, i am going to say short term target of $0.925
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Last
$6.76 |
Change
0.020(0.30%) |
Mkt cap ! $6.318B |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
$6.70 | $6.82 | $6.68 | $12.37M | 1.829M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 4000 | $6.75 |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
$6.78 | 7217 | 2 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 4000 | 6.750 |
4 | 32873 | 6.740 |
2 | 17715 | 6.730 |
1 | 14224 | 6.720 |
1 | 4477 | 6.700 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
6.780 | 7217 | 2 |
6.790 | 3278 | 2 |
6.800 | 16371 | 2 |
6.810 | 11828 | 2 |
6.820 | 249 | 1 |
Last trade - 16.10pm 18/09/2024 (20 minute delay) ? |
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