The Iron Ore bears conveniently forget what would happen to the supply side equation if I/O prices fell below $100/t for an extended period of time. There is a lot of supply (probably a third) that requires prices above $110/t.
The share price of the Majors (RI0, BHP and FMG) will drop significantly if the price crash did come, but it would all be temporary, as adjustments in I/O supply would correct the balance and send the price back above $100. FMG have been publicly saying their break even price is somewhere around $70/t.
This is why it is so important to be at the bottom end of the price curve.
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22 | 6580 | 17.540 |
20 | 13374 | 17.530 |
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39 | 31118 | 17.510 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
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17.560 | 4933 | 12 |
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