I am more worried about the greater macro impacts on WPL share price than negotiations in Israel and the potential Shell sale, which looks increasingly likely see 1.
1. Shell stake to go on sale next year
2. I have also attached a large image of research on NYSE margin debt data I did from 2013 to 1996 i.e. Money borrowed at 90% leverage to invest in the stockmarket. If history repeats itself like the 3 times before, we could see a 50% fall next year from February on. That's a bold prediction but I can see why the fed are worried.
I believe in buying stocks when the risk of a crash is low, global debt is low and fundamentals are strong. At the moment I see the risks as being very high. Tread lightly in 2014 and have a nice Christmas - you still have some time to adjust your positions before this kicks in. Trade safe and have a nice Christmas.
Q: What do a Christmas tree and a priest have in common?
A: Their balls are just for decoration.
NYSE MARGIN DEBT DATA 1997-2013
update on leviathan, page-5
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