QHL 12.5% 28.0¢ quickstep holdings limited

dumping, page-10

  1. 316 Posts.
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    Tax selling, or not, the medium-long term risk is to the upside, IMO. I've tried to do a DCF using contracts that we know about and get a valuation estimate of about 60-70M. I'm no accountant, and I've made some some pretty big assumptions, but it comes out roughly inline with current market cap of 75M.

    After the state one report suggesting there may be a couple of auto deals this year (maybe they know some that I don't) I added in some auto parts sales. Starting with 2.5M for 2014 ramping up to capacity for Bankstown facility over a few years, I get an estimate of about 160M. So roughly double current SP. Stateone price target is 0.50-0.60, which is a bit more than I would be comfortable with until there is is some definite new deals.
 
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