Ok then janitmot, by your logic I could have 2 companies - both with earnings of 100m in FY15.
Company A has a 2 year mine life, and company B has a 20 year mine life. If you apply a P/E of 10 to them both then you have a very funny idea of value.
So why are you trying to apply a normal metric? If you want to value RSG, do a proper DCF that takes into account mine life, evolution of grade, remediation costs, capex and all the other stuff that it takes to value a miner. Once you've done this, you can then plug in a price and see what future gold price it is discounting. Or you can run a monte carlo analysis and make a good guess at what it should be worth. Consensus from the brokers was about 60c before yesterday's news.
Saying sentiment affects share prices is like saying weather affects umbrella sales - and far from unique to gold miners.
My view on the valuation of RSG is that it is worth less than it was yesterday morning - their FY15 guidance is significantly worse than expected. Unfortunately for me, I've run into one of those unpredictable sentiment-based gold stock rallies you were mentioning (as the commodity itself is flat on yesterday's close) - As to the rest, I don't really care.
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Last
43.0¢ |
Change
-0.015(3.37%) |
Mkt cap ! $915.4M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
44.0¢ | 45.3¢ | 42.3¢ | $8.553M | 19.78M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
7 | 300246 | 43.0¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
43.5¢ | 50870 | 3 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
7 | 300246 | 0.430 |
12 | 569041 | 0.425 |
35 | 1053149 | 0.420 |
10 | 367201 | 0.415 |
21 | 799559 | 0.410 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.435 | 50870 | 3 |
0.440 | 482179 | 7 |
0.445 | 189876 | 4 |
0.450 | 389854 | 4 |
0.455 | 231493 | 6 |
Last trade - 16.10pm 13/11/2024 (20 minute delay) ? |
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RSG (ASX) Chart |