I have estimates close to your figures Parrot except I use a projected EPS and PE ratio calculation. Using current production rate and present POG I estimate an EPS for FY 15 of 28.62c. That means the sensitivity analysis gives us a SP of $1.43 for a stupidly low PE of 5, but $8.58 at the possible PE of 30. The neutral position at PE of 15 is a SP of $4.29.
DYOR.
Cheers
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