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217 Posts.

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17/08/14

23:21

Post #: 13830027
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Originally posted by tomboy ↑

Meerkat,
you are just another naysayer and a short trader like those "experts" at Comsec, Avexa and HSBC all of whom got this AHZ call totally wrong below 10c. Where were you to call the triple top at 18.5c before?

You are pretending to be an analyst even though you have got this SP move up totally wrong from 12c to 16.5c ,if i recall you were calling it lower at 13c so you cant even accept the wrong call from a few weeks ago let alone have any credibility to call it lower now at 16.5c. On your pitchfork pattern you posted (an issue you ignored in response) the middle pitchfork was crashed through with gusto by over 20% already and you ignore the intrady bullish signs - the SP is already well into the top pitchfork clearing the midfork sharply through with an upward angle of 30 degrees showing 19c - 25c is a SP target in play on the short term.

Meerkat you are ignoring your own pitchfork pattern!! WTF.. where is your professionalism mate? You cant do that and keep a straight face surely?

I note you have failed to respond to the 13.5c-18.5c topping pattern at all, you say "this is a totally different pattern" yet historically triple tops are serious resistance tops if ever met again. If you disagree then you are wrong again. This is not a totally different pattern, in fact if you extrapolate the flooring pattern in Jun-Jul 13 at 3-5c this is very similar to the current pattern Jun-Jul 14 at 13c, The fact is the SP traded at a narrow band at both times and then shot through up 100% of which we are currently at a 50% retracement level of that same pattern crack up from 5c to 10c, but you cannot see the wood for the trees as your anaylsis goes from back to front, ie it cannot possibly go to 12c-36c so it cannot be a 5c-15c move again. This is disingenious and ignores the reality of the massive development of the factory opening and what this means to the SP and MC going forward.

Where is the bad news? nowhere, the cardiocell production will go from 2k pa to 40k pa in next 12 months maybe to 120k pa in 3 years. If it were a mining company it would be 500% higher right now at opening of its "mine"/factory just like FMG and ANL before it which AF, catlow, rowley, emichrome were also major holders in. You are ignoring the major holders here also and their prior history.. dont underestimate the "old boys" and Colin Barnett, they have $6B in capacity and $200M in dividends pa at their disposal now. The holders at 3c-10c did not appreciate these old boys and sold too low just like you.

You also fail to realise that AHZ margins which is profit on cardiocell sales are 50% not 15% like in retail or 30% like in NI or 10-30%% like in IO, the margins are massively higher. Again no reply to this point.

Its one thing to talk down a stock but to ignore the margins, charts and events is plain wrong. Be honest with yourself and admit your call was wrong bc if you cannot admit your mistakes you are forever meant to repeat them.

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Meercat will be right until he is wrong. Simple as that. Fundamentals will take care of themselves. I guess that is what hc is about.

AHZ Price at posting: 16.5¢ Sentiment: None Disclosure: Held
2 Upvote

0 Great analysis

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Last $12.63		Change -0.070(0.55%)		Mkt cap ! $266.7M

Open	High	Low	Value	Volume
$12.62	$12.99	$12.61	$164.9K	12.99K

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No.	Vol.	Price($)
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Price($)	Vol.	No.
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No.	Vol.	Price($)
2	91	12.630
3	1422	12.620
1	50	12.510
1	800	12.500
1	60	12.250

Price($)	Vol.	No.
12.750	144	1
12.790	467	1
12.800	505	1
12.830	130	1
12.900	502	1

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18.5c Top, page-12

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