I have seen Niall on TV and agree that he is entertaining. But he is a public figure who tried to influence the FED not to take a certain course based on his 'expert' predictions about inflation. Predictions that not only did not materialize but also were seen by many as the solution rather than the problem and consequently is being discredited.
The game here is all about expectations and the placing of bets accordingly. Since some of those expectations are contradictory not all can be winners.
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