If AGO can break past the resistance level of .26 then as Kate9999 posted a few days ago - then blue sky should be seen for a bit.
http://in.reuters.com/article/2015/01/06/markets-ironore-idINL3N0UL2RR20150106
* Iron ore, rebar futures recover as Australia cyclone looms
* Spot prices unlikely to respond as demand remains weak
* Price boost not expected before Chinese new year -CISA
(Updates prices)
SHANGHAI, Jan 6 (Reuters) - China's iron ore futures jumped 4 percent on Tuesday to reach
their highest level since early November, as bad weather in Australia, the world's biggest
producing nation, threatened to disrupt shipments.
A tropical low pressure system is bringing heavy rain and floods to northwest Australia,
with a chance of up to 50 percent that it could strengthen into a tropical cyclone by Wednesday.
Ports in Australia may have to be closed as a result of the cyclone, analysts said. Each
year, cyclones close shipping lanes and disrupt the mining of hundreds of millions of tonnes of
iron ore, coal, sugar and other commodities in Australia.
Iron ore futures for May delivery on the Dalian Commodity Exchange rose by their
maximum daily amount of 4 percent to 520 yuan ($83) a tonne. The most-traded May rebar contract
on the Shanghai Futures Exchange was up 2.46 percent at 2,619 yuan.
"Weather is one factor pushing up iron ore futures prices but it is not necessarily
affecting spot prices. High levels of inventory at ports and low demand from steel mills in
China cannot lift spot iron ore prices," said a Ningbo-based trader.
Benchmark 62 percent grade iron ore for immediate delivery to China .IO62-CNI=SI fell 0.56
percent to $70.80 a tonne on Monday, according to data compiled by the Steel Index.
According to data provider SteelHome, imported iron ore stockpiles at major Chinese ports
SH-TOT-IRONINV fell for the fifth week in a row last week, but they remain at 100.6 million
tonnes, 15 percent higher than the same time last year.
Weak appetite in China is expected to remain at least until the Chinese new year on Feb. 19,
though the impact of the cancellation of a tax rebate on boron-steel exports is expected to be
limited, with the move already priced into the market and producers exploring new options.
There have also been growing concerns over the debts of local governments, which may hurt
their ability to fund infrastructure projects.
The China Iron and Steel Association (CISA), in its regular market report published on
Monday, said that there was little likelihood of any recovery in iron ore prices in January,
noting that there was still room for further declines.
"As the winter season continues and the (Chinese new year) holiday approaches, steel
production is likely to cool down, the gap between iron ore supply and demand is unlikely to
ease and iron ore prices will fluctuate in line with current trends," the association said.
Rebar and iron ore prices at 0700 GMT
Contract Last Change Pct Change
SHFE REBAR MAY5 2615 +59.00 +2.31
DALIAN IRON ORE DCE DCIO MAY5 520 +20.00 +4.00
THE STEEL INDEX 62 PCT INDEX 70.8 -0.40 -0.56
METAL BULLETIN INDEX 70.87 -0.39 -0.55
Dalian iron ore and Shanghai rebar in yuan/tonne
Index in dollars/tonne, show close for the previous trading day
($1 = 6.2150 Chinese yuan )
(Reporting by Shanghai newsroom and David Stanway; Editing by Joseph Radford and Biju
Dwarakanath)
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