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mjp2

10,642 Posts.

227

17/03/15

06:06

Post #: 14924580
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Originally posted by jopo ↑

It's not settled science is it mjp?
Does not seem like it to me..

Thanks for your highlighting of this quote.

"
Dear all,

At the risk of overload, here are some notes of mine on the recent

lack of warming. I look at this in two ways. The first is to look at

the difference between the observed and expected anthropogenic trend relative to the pdf
for unforced variability. The second is to remove ENSO, volcanoes and TSI variations
from the observed data. (my highlight)

Both methods show that what we are seeing is not unusual. The second

method leaves a significant warming over the past decade."

I like this bit. "The second is to remove ENSO, volcanoes and TSI variations" So now when we remove negative forcing everything fits in with warming models. Well isnt that just dandy.

I found a Tisdale chart awhile ago on what global sea temps look like with the el nino spikes removed. Sure as hell make the temp charts look pretty flat. Can i do that now since you guys can remove negative forcings.

Now that you are cherry picking what natural forcings can be removed to show that in fact there is a warming.

Lets deal with your ludicrous net zero assumptions about the pacific.
Where do get that paper from..
All i see is global sst anomalies increasing. That just states that their is no net zero effect.

In looking for the Tinsdale )minus el nino chart which i have not located yet I came across this from wuwt.

Basically a running total on yearly NINO 3.4 sst anomalies. No net zero effect seen here.
Certainly a nice match.

and another image on Period averages.. These show that there is 100% no net zero.

Expand

ah jopo
still foaming at the mouth

you remove those factors from the models and you clearly see the underlying warming trend
simples
i.e. natural variation is the explanation for the pause, but the underlying warming trend is still there

then you start quoting rubbish from tisdale and watts - both totally unqualified denial blog sites well known for doctoring data, that only a day ago you swore on your heart you never used
you sir are totally incredulous
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