yea thats very true and what you say, hindsight is a wonderfull thing, the problem is the probability of you at the time, such as now picking up the next big winner is probably worse odds then if you go to the casino. The odds of you winning at the casino at 49.9%, thats true to.
I am sure if you picked 10 specs, may 2 would would turn out, thise 2 then need to be big enough winners to make up for the other 8 and even then you could be waiting years, if not decades for any to be winners.
If you are looking at creating long term wealth, its much easier to stick to something thats more predictable, practicle and stable which the top end of the market provides.
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