RHK 1.28% 77.0¢ red hawk mining limited

Ann: Flinders signs option agreement with Todd Corporation, page-39

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  1. 457 Posts.
    Its probably a hold IMO - I've changed my sentiment

    I get the following sp:
    Upfront cash $10m
    Current cash $5m
    PV of exercised option $41m
    Royalty $50m
    Cash burn -$10m
    Gives you around $96m or 3.5cps

    The upfront $10m is only going to pay for expenses for the year and a half until the expiry. We don't even know if the option will be exercised so you need to factor in additional risk into that (I've reduced the value to $50m). And they can extend the option for a piddly fee.

    Then what are they going to do with the $55m if the option is exercised? They'll probably give a large portion back to shareholders then just keep the rest to pay their wages and exploration costs on canegrass. They'll also probably sell the royalty back to Todd and take another large haircut.

    How much money did they pump into proving up the deposit? A lot more than the current share price I'm guessing
 
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