I agreed the FMG realised sale price will be around US$40/wmt if Platts 62% price is US$
50/dmt, calculation as follows:
- Spot price US$50/dmt
1. FMG 87% realised price due to grade, being US$50 * 87% = US$43.5/dmt
2. wmt conversion due to moisture, 8.5%, US$43.5/dmt * (1-8.5%) = US$39.8/wmt
My previous post in April, which was correctly calculated and factored in all these parameters.
http://hotcopper.com.au/threads/snapshot.2502364/#.VZZiLkb4Z3o
The Platts 62% break even price of US$39/dmt has already factored in moisture and low grade conversion. So do not need to adjust again.
FMG latest presentation clearly illustrated cash cost history, referred to the ASX announcement on 20 May 2015:
Platts 62% break-even price for the 2016 financial year:
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