Barring some other mine disaster or renewed commodity price collapse to new lower lows I think $11-$12 will be the floor. It will take a trend reversal in one of the commodities (oil, copper, coal or Iron Ore) to go the other way. Safe entry below $15 for long term. I will jump at $13.XX today.
My prediction is late 2016 oil price recovery to $65 will be the beach head to change. Coal and other energy sources to follow oil with 6 month lag. Iron ore to stay $40-$50 next 5 years with all the 2nd tier marginal producers one by one collapsing.
Within 3 years BHP to be $30 is my bet.
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