AKE 0.00% $9.83 allkem limited

Market cap vs Talison

  1. 3,746 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 104
    Am considering investing and been looking around various sites. I noticed this post last year on market capital:

    Amateur calculations based on Oligopoly partners P/E ratios

    SQM P/E 22.46
    ROC P/E 46.60
    FMC P/E 17.64
    Average P/E 28.84

    ORE Projected Earnings circa 70m
    If we take the high then 70 x 46.6 = 3.248B market cap pot.
    If we take the low then 70 x 17.64 = 1.234B market cap pot.
    If we take the average then 70 x 28.84 = 2.018B market cap pot.

    This back of envelope analysis would suggest a conservative market cap, once the market is comfortable that ORE have addressed all production challenges of $2B, given the expectations for the lithium price to continue to rise.

    My query is how was 49% of Talison valued at $US475M in 2014 - it is a much bigger resource and been operating for years. Why wasn't it worth billions? I'm hoping there is a simple answer like ORE will be much more profitable or different quality.

    Any insight appreciated.
 
watchlist Created with Sketch. Add AKE (ASX) to my watchlist

Currently unlisted public company.

arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch. arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch.