NTU northern minerals limited

Chinese HRE ore prices fall further

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    Ganzhou Rare Earth Industry Association released in 2016 on 1January Ganzhou late ionic rare earth ore prices


    1 month 25 days, Ganzhou Rare Earth Industry Association releasedin 2016 on 1 January Ganzhou late ionic rare earth ore prices (tax included).
    And 2016 in 1 compared to early January Ganzhou ionic rare earth ore prices, yttrium europium rich ore down 1.5 yuan / ton to 18 yuan/ ton, high-South xenotime down 1.5 yuan / ton to 19 yuan / t Anyuan high xenotime down 1.5 ten thousand yuan / ton to 18 ten thousand yuan / ton, low xunwu low yttrium europium ore down 1 ten thousand yuan / ton to 11 ten thousand yuan / ton.

    http://www.ac-rei.org.cn/portal.php?mod=view&aid=4555

    With high Y xenotime ore down nearly another 10% we can expect the prices of 92% con offered by the separators to fall in line.

    IMCOA data shows 2015 HRE vs quota:
    Demand: 11,230t
    Supply: 21,700t
    Quota: 17,900t

    Not only is supply very nearly 200% over demand but even 2015 production quotas were set 63% OVER actual demand. Effectively if ALL the "illegals" were stripped out of HRE supply it would still be hugely over produced relative to shrinking demand. Little wonder the HRE prices have fallen to CoP and separation facilities are closing either permanently or for months at a time.

    How does a 0.63% hard rock resource in the Tanami Desert write a credible business plan to that scenario?

    Let alone try and raise funding against it?

    Pages from IMCOA.jpg
 
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