I never take a probability into account. The price action tells you where the price is headed. If anybody knew what the market was doing then those people would either be rich or in goal. Market makers can take a stock price where they want. I like to watch for attractive prices regardless of what I think might happen. I never go all in. There will always be opportunities in the future to buy solid stocks at bargain prices. That's where they money is.
NAB Price at posting:
$25.68 Sentiment: Hold Disclosure: Held
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