HIG 0.00% 10.5¢ highlands pacific limited

Ann: Trading Halt-HIG.AX, page-7

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  1. niu
    1,638 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 578
    I was running through the possibilities - news, a demand, a deal.

    News?
    "Here is your DFS" but there is no mention of the DFS
    "We're walking away, selling up" - not likely based on their recent announcements.
    "Project is in trouble due to some official/legal/political issue" - it is PNG so always a possibility

    A demand?
    "We've paid our fair share according to the deal so please contribute" - pretty sure it is a free carry until the DFS is final
    "We like it so much we're ready to start. Now where is you $xyz million?" - but unlikely - even the big boys need to complete the DFS to keep the bankers happy

    A deal?
    "DFS is not finished but we're thinking it is a go and it will be too hard for you to fund your way , so here is a deal to take part of your share for a Ramu style free carry arrangement" Maybe, but I think they would prefer the lot.
    So, absent a full takeover offer it left me thinking a buy out offer for the Freida stake is a possibility. But then again, the usual "possible significant transaction" language was missing.

    I really don't know what to make of it.

    If it is a buyout of the Freida stake, I don't think GRAM would be particularly generous. The timing is too opportunistic for a generous deal - get in before the market can assess the value revealed in the DFS. But then it couldn't be too tight fisted either - Trafigura and PNGSDP are unlikely to sign off on something too low ball. And I am sure there would be other interested parties if HIG had the time and opportunity to shop it around - OZL? Anglo?

    Roll on Thursday - at last something (good bad or otherwise) is happening.
 
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