I meet quite a few Americans on my travels.
I am always struck by their sense of insecurity.
They love to be loved. They are very fearful of anybody reaching their GDP and world position.
Mr Obama has done a good job in getting Americans to be less of the world's police.
If Mr Trump gets in, C hina will begin sabrerattling and Mr Trump will back down.
That has already happened to a lesser extent when Mr Bush became president