Trumps chipping away the Hilary Clinton margin in Upshots
modelling of polls and has risen from a 13% chance about a week
ago to 17% currently while Clinton has dropped to an 83% chance.
A swag of polls came out on Wed giving Clinton a 2point lead in most
of them. This has resulted in Upshots modelling increasing Trumps chances
to 17%. While the latest national polling is very close compared to the Upshot
model the latter takes account the actual collegiate likely hood results
across all States.
Trump is chipping away. Now 17%, can he reach 51%?
Han, Einstein and others will be encouraged. Below also most recent national polls/links:
Race/Topic (Click to Sort) Poll Results Spread
General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein GWU/Battleground Clinton 42, Trump 40, Johnson 11, Stein 3 Clinton +2
General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein Economist/YouGov Clinton 40, Trump 38, Johnson 7, Stein 5 Clinton +2
General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein Reuters/Ipsos Clinton 40, Trump 38, Johnson 8, Stein 3 Clinton +2
General Election: Trump vs. Clinton Economist/YouGov Clinton 44, Trump 42 Clinton +2
General Election: Trump vs. Clinton Reuters/Ipsos Clinton 40, Trump 38 Clinton +2
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/upshot/presidential-polls-forecast.html?_r=0
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/president/