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ABC/WaPo Poll Clinton +1, page-9

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jambo12

46,560 Posts.

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31/10/16

00:22

Post #: 20237129
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Originally posted by sparassid ↑

From Primarymodel.com:

Lol, what an absolute joke. For one thing presidents running for their 2nd term almost always dominate their primaries or run unopposed, which means 2 or 3 of those correct 'predictions' are meaningless.

One only has to go back to 2000 to see that Al Gore got 75% in his primary while G W Bush got 62%, and Bush went on to win. But Primarymodel.com says they 'adjusted' their model (without saying how), to somehow predict this correctly. Uhhhh.. ok.

There is very little relationship between primary vote, or turnout, and general election results.

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Did you read the methodology?
No matter, that model predicts Trump, you and NYT predict Clinton, we will see a week Tuesday.
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