GOLD 0.51% $1,391.7 gold futures

Why HUI down 8 %????, page-23

  1. 9,821 Posts.
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    i believe i already explained this one wombat53

    usdjpy was either going to stop at the 61.8% fib retracement (1.15) or  keep rising to 1.22 at least and probably 1.24 (back where it wads when gold was 1050 last year)

    post fomc meeting - it kept rising thanks to their extra 25bp raise dot point for 2017

    USDJPY now at 1.18 so its got another 20-25% of the way to travel most likely

    so professional investors sold out of all their gold exposure (me included) - hence the fall in HUI the night after - there's no buying support now

    funnily enough this is all predicated (usd rise) - on a rise in inflation coming. none of which is getting priced into gold.

    there;s already inflation data starting to spike through.  when it becomes really strong - gold will reverse course and start to lose its negative correlation to the USD.

    historically 2nd quarter next year should be golds time to shine - usd and us gdp should peak and start falling and inflation starts coming through more strongly due to basing effect on y-o-y commodity prices

    usdjpy daily 16 Dec 2016.png
 
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