I thinkyou'll find the Co themselves had/have indicated that 31 jan was the latest est for longtom.
relatively lower risk is just that.. relatively.. there would have to be more than a "slightly off" issue if crux comes a cropper.. all the field est's will have been based on the second of several wells being deep in the heart of the field. this is no outlier.
either way we wont see nxs this cheap this time nxt yr.
my opinion
crux drilling, page-9
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