S32 0.56% $3.55 south32 limited

AWC Rumours, page-24

  1. 956 Posts.
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    It's tricky as the resource sector is more cyclical than most.

    In the down periods armageddon is forecast forever (think met coal from 2013-15), when the margins are high for a while its "stronger for longer"- till the next wave of expansions and projects kick in. Possibly the sector is a bit wiser now, certainly its hard to think of any standout projects as pretty much anything that could be built over the boom (good, indifferent or bad) was.

    I like S32's exposure to Met Coal, Manganese and Alumina. Silver, Lead and Zinc are great to have.

    Nickel is a wild card but not that important for South32.

    Outside this portfolio Iron Ore is the one major commodity I think (unsuprisingly) is least sustainable as the margins are remarkable - but I could well be wrong on timing. Then again all good for now Iluka's MAC royalty

    Elsewhere I think lithium will come and go the same way the uranium and rare earths bubbles did.

    Think I will sit tight for six months then revisit.
    Last edited by Barkston: 15/01/17
 
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