YOW 0.00% 2.5¢ yowie group ltd

Fair Value $0.604, page-16

  1. 2,667 Posts.
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    Our expected cash outflows this quarter are expected to be 6.875 million which includes marketing spend. To match this we need to sell 4.58 million yowies roughly, I think we should sell closer to 5 if things go to plan.

    As Iv stated before, Mclanes who our biggest customer (stock Walmarts) were very low on stock and Walmarts last order was for Christmas yowies. This order will be big, above 2 million yowies atleast so there's 3 mill U.S in receipts there. Target full roll out (assuming it happens as I expect) will need to stock 1700 new stores in time for Easter which should add a further 1-1.5 mill US in receipts. Additional tier 1s Walgreens and Safeway stocking for Easter should add 1-2 million in receipts. How much will the Australian order add? I'm estimating 250-500k units so let's say that will add 500k in receipts. Add in the other 30,000 stores we distribute to stocking up for our best holiday and we should be above the 6.8 mill US mark.

    This is assuming our two wrappers operate as they should.

    The Neilson data is showing we are gaining market share every month meaning that customers are buying more and more thus meaning retailers will make larger orders.

    This is the quarter they need to prove themselves CEM. No excuses.
 
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