MSB 2.26% $1.13 mesoblast limited

Morningstar $2.10 valuation, page-12

  1. 16,632 Posts.
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    @Moreforme,

    That all sounds truly exciting and good.

    But before those good things happen there is the not-so-small matter of how MSB pays the bills between now and then.

    Because, in 3 weeks' time, MSB will have a cash balance of around $35m , according to management guidance for cash consumption for the current quarter and assuming an R&D Tax Incentive of $5.0m is received before the end of the month [*].

    Last published current liabilities amounted to $29m.

    This means that MSB will - well within a month into the June quarter (i.e., roughly 6 weeks from now) - be at the point where its cash holdings will become insufficient to service the company's current liabilities. This has important implications for the company continuing to do business on a going concern basis, and it starts to introduce issues of counter-party risk.

    While some of the recent announcements are milestones that one would expect to be reached for a company like MSB, they have nonetheless causes a modicum of excitement, it is plain to see.

    So, against that happy backdrop, I hate to draw attention once again to a sobering issue that is now becoming most pressing, that being the financial situation of the business, and how it funds its forward path.

    I am confident to be placed on the record as saying the company will have to either announce some sort of a partnership deal in the coming 4 or 5 weeks, or it will very soon thereafter be forced pick up the phone to make the call to Kentgrove Capital, authorising the commencement of selling of new Mesoblast stock on-market in order to raise funds.

    [*] If the R&D Tax Incentive is only received in the June quarter which has mostly been the case historically, then MSB's Cash Balance - to - Current Liabilities will be close to parity sometime in the first few days of April, i.e., in some 20 working days' time.
 
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