Oil peaking in 2020?, page-95

Most likely to change the way things are done, but because of the huge cost of converting to the new ways, it will take much much longer than the PC and Mobile tel disruptive revolution took, and these revolutions are not even at their peaks just yet, if ever.
I can't see people giving up their freedom of mobility independence completely. There'll be many years or trials and errors along the way, wont happen in 15 years, more like 40 years. Meanwhile, the shale oil industry would be very technologically advance as well.