just wanted to share a bit of experience hergerr. glad you took no offense. on the flip side i would hate for someone to not listen to you because of what i said and lose money.
the point is nothing is as definitive as saying "he said so and he is an "expert" therefore it must be true"
you are right tho, you can't live onthe past and project teh future by looking at teh past... but common sense can tell you that, you don't need an expert to tell you