KEY POINTS FROM A BROKERS REVIEW ! Data & Internet Solutions in Australia including ISDN have an estimated market of A$6 billion. Our revenue forecasts during 2004-2006 for Multiemedia reflect market shares of 2% - 8% with 1 satellite transponder in 2004 rising to 3 transponders in 2006. ! The satellite hub & terminal equipment infrastructure will be provided by USA-based ViaSat to Multiemedia. ViaSat are up to be 5x faster with bandwidth downlink speed compared with the competitors (Hughes & Gilat). In Australia Optus the satellite fleet operator provides hub & terminal equipment using a maximum one spot beam compared with 6 by Multiemedia’s satellite NSS6. ! In FY2004 the rapid deal flow from Multiemedia’s superiority is expected to generate operating revenues of A$100m including 70% from space & end user equipment. Multiemedia commence commercial satellite operations on October 1, 2003 with a 5-year contract to increase from 1 to 3 transponders. Each transponder generates A$100m of revenues at current prices. ! We value Multiemedia @ 10-15x FY2004 earnings forecast at A$34m implying a valuation of A$340-510m representing 37-56c per share using current issued capital of 910m securities. We have assumed a dividend payout ratio of 25% if the business plan is realized. ! Investors will receive clear signals of Multiemedia’s emerging broadband superiority through Australian Government Agencies’ preference for Multiemedia’s services for new business contracts. Head-to-head bidding against Optus is currently raging for broadband contracts.
MUL Price at posting:
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