MSB 1.56% $1.31 mesoblast limited

Why the big drop?, page-28

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    @larrylovelace

    I would point you to the thread "what matters to MNK", specifically the summary of key factors to consider when looking at the MNK discussions

    https://hotcopper.com.au/threads/my-thoughts-on-what-matters-to-mnk.3418785/#.WUYhomWPhSU

    Extract from the above thread:

    However I believe there is merit in lining up factors for and against the partnership being formed.

    For:
    - MNK need to diversify their revenue stream into the mid/long term
    - MSCs could be the next big thing, and their method of action
    - MSB have two advanced phase 3 programs (one of these a potential billion dollar blockbuster) that have demonstrated meaningful clinical trial data and are safe
    - MNK are committed to regenerative medicine
    - MSB need funding
    - MNK have established sales and marketing teams and distribution channels
    - both programs nearing end of phase 3 recruitment, and as such there is little initial capital outlay to run these two trials to completion
    - aGVHD could be FDA approved by mid 2018
    - regulatory environment is currently very favourable for MSB in the US, with many benefits not yet realised

    Against:
    - MNK have high debt levels
    - there is no immediate cash flow / sales to MNK from these two programs
    - MNK could try grab most of the NPV from these programs


    So to answer your question - the share price is a 'nice-to-have' but won't be a significant contributor in terms of the deal being done.


    Good luck
 
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