look this is just a very simple comparison and plse tell me if i havent made any errors:
if we assume that FRS will roughly be a similar producer and have a similar resource to TTY (territory resources)
then market cap comparison to TTY or TFE:
FRS mkt cap is 71 mill
TTY mkt cap is 200mill
thus no.shares in FRS is roughly 75million shares * 0.95
thus no.shares in TTY is roughly 155mill shares * 1.30
Assume FRS by time of production has 125million shares
thus 125million shares * what? = TTYs mkt cap of 200mill
the answer is : 125million shares * $1.60 = 200mill mkt cap
So until 2009 production over 2 years theres potential 60% return plus more upside???
Am I right or wrong in this simple analogy???
Without dilution of an extra 50million shares, FRS share price would have to be $2.60 to compare with tty.
But there will be dilution no doubt ala TTY
thus is there greater upside in other iron ore plays???
Its already at $1.00, so maybe Ive missed the boat as other near term producers may offer better returns???
Still 30% a yr or so aint bad if the share price gets to $1.60 to equate my diluted mkt cap with TTYs.
please help
TTY is slated to make 13cps I believe: 20millNPAT/150mill shares last I heard according to FAT PROPHETS from a few months back
this couldve changed by now though.
how much dilution do u guys expect on FRS???
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Last
20.5¢ |
Change
0.005(2.50%) |
Mkt cap ! $74.72M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
20.5¢ | 21.0¢ | 20.0¢ | $181.9K | 891.4K |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 119847 | 20.0¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
21.0¢ | 267142 | 2 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 119847 | 0.200 |
1 | 10 | 0.195 |
5 | 70247 | 0.190 |
2 | 110000 | 0.185 |
2 | 44561 | 0.180 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.210 | 267142 | 2 |
0.215 | 67900 | 2 |
0.220 | 15455 | 2 |
0.225 | 103000 | 2 |
0.230 | 68350 | 3 |
Last trade - 15.56pm 12/09/2025 (20 minute delay) ? |
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FRS (ASX) Chart |