Excellent synopsis as always Mandurah and fills in the gaps between my basic observation and Ya's more technical one...Although condensate can be quite a valuable product, unless they have a market for the gas it becomes stranded as there will be a limit on flaring...its oil we need and it is there but yet to be established as being in commercial quantities.
Sirius and Spica were always seen as plug ins and as such would not have been part of Phase one so used further out in the life of the field.
That leaves us with Sama, which for FAR ideally needs to be a stand a lone project. With a pre drill estimate of 500 Mm barrels it would have no problem achieving that if proved. Your observations on the trend getting oilier as it moves south and its location sitting above huge source kitchens makes for wonderfull bedtime reading..as always untill they put a drill into it there will be no certainty but it stands out as a very exciting prospect....
The main takeaways IMO from FFS 1 and now SF N 1 is don't raise your expectations to high and in the meantime enjoy the fact FAR has a great future based around SNE alone , it's a monster small oilers would die for and we know it's going to have another resource increase despite Sirius...
In many ways it's nice to have the hype around 3S super Elephant coming up against the realities of exploration/ appraisal drilling ...now on with the show..
Cheers Whisky
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