The option market does not support your calculations (miscalculations ) at all.
96.17% probability that 5.395 will be breached tomorrow is nearly matching Rosa's predictions.
5.395 is possible and even probable but one can safely say without any calculations that the probability of this event is less than 50%.
All who believe your calculations should buy as much as they can afford and sell tomorrow with 96.17% probability of making some money for weekend BBQ .
FMG Technical Analysis, page-160
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Last
$19.76 |
Change
-0.220(1.10%) |
Mkt cap ! $60.84B | |||
| Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
| $19.66 | $19.80 | $19.20 | $191.1M | 9.763M |
Buyers (Bids)
| No. | Vol. | Price($) |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | 4673 | $19.73 |
Sellers (Offers)
| Price($) | Vol. | No. |
|---|---|---|
| $19.76 | 31740 | 2 |
View Market Depth
| Last trade - 16.10pm 04/10/2024 (20 minute delay) ? |
| FMG (ASX) Chart |