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25/10/17
01:17
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Originally posted by 8horse
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If you check how many Chinese companies are buying and investing in lithium mines, you would not think 50c is expensive.
TianQi Lithium acquire Talison (Greenbushes: 6.6Mt LCE on 100% back then) in 2012 for A$1b while lithium price was very low, currently lithium price is up +300%.
AVZ's shared Exploration targeted lithium resource, 19.7Mt (mid figure)!
Also, more recent acquisition from China:
On 16 October 2017, a Chinese company bought 60% of a Canadan lithium deposit (still in development, not in production yet) with lithium resource of 14.25Mt @1.4% Li2O (M&I:12Mt), total LCE 0.258Mt for US$60m .
AVZ's middle figure of attributable (Exploration target) LCE is about 19.7Mt.
If using that deal base, US$60m / 0.258Mt LCE x AVZ's 19.7Mt LCE x FX 1.279 = A$5.86b
Then apply for DISCOUNT for RISKs (80%) , A$5.86b x 20% / fully diluted shares 2.2b = 52c per share .
Only for exercise.
DYOR.
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Great post Acca and share your sentiment. Will not be selling any shares until 50 cents+ Heaps undervalued at current levels. Recommend everyone gets on board ASAP to maximise gains. Takeover rumours, most lithium in the ASX, booming sector, hot Chinese demand.
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