Here is my analysis using the Synlait numbers for FY18. See what you think.
Total revenue is derived using some maths and assumes that IF is static at 72% of Group Revenue.
Obviously if any of the assumptions in the table below are incorrect then the numbers will change ie if A2M has a larger share of Synlait production; revenue per tin is more or less than $20 on average then the IF revenue will change; if milk sales increase as a percentage of Group Revenue then total revenue will be larger than what is detailed in the table below.
Gives a useful guide to range of Revenue figures. Feel free to critique.
Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 Column 4 Column 5 Column 6 0 Synlait 2018 production MT 80% production to a2m # tins per MT Revenue per tin NZD IF Revenue NZD Total Revenue NZD (assume IF is 72%of Group Revenue) 1 30,000.00 24000 1100 $20 $ 528,000,000 $ 733,333,333.33 2 32,500.00 26000 1100 $20 $ 572,000,000 $ 794,444,444.44 3 35,000.00 28000 1100 $20 $ 616,000,000 $ 855,555,555.56
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